864 FXUS65 KABQ 040932 AFDABQ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 330 AM MDT FRI MAY 4 2001 MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT ON POSITION AND TIMING OF UPPER LOW NOW BUT STILL DIFFER IN DETAILS OF SURFACE FRONT AND MOISTURE/PRECIP. ALL HAVE THE NE IN FOR A RAW...NASTY DAY AND LOOKING AT RADAR TRENDS ERN NM FILLING IN NICELY NOW WITH SHOWERS AND STORMS. SHORT WAVE OVER TX PANHANDLE HELPING CONVECTION ALONG THIS AM. ANOTHER SHORT WAVE OVER BAJA SHOULD PASS S OF FORECAST AREA LATER TODAY. AVN ACTUALLY THE WETTEST FOR TODAY IN THE NE WITH AROUND 2 INCHES FORECAST FROM NOW THROUGH THE DAY. HOPEFULLY THIS IS OVERDONE BUT CERTAINLY A WET DAY COMING UP FOR THE NE ZONES. POPS AND PRECIP GRADUALLY LOWER FROM NE TO SW TODAY. BELIEVE SURFACE FRONT TO MAKE LITTLE PROGRESS NWD TODAY PER ETA/MESOETA...THUS ANOTHER CHILLY DAY FOR THE NE AND WILL UNDERCUT GUIDANCE MUCH OF E. WITH UPPER LOW GOING OVER NW/NC NM TONIGHT LOOKS LIKE NRN MOUNTAINS COULD GET SOME DECENT SNOWFALL AND WILL ISSUE SNOW ADVISORY FOR 3-6 INCHES ABOVE 7500 FEET TONIGHT. ELSEWHERE SOME SHOWERS (MIXED WITH SNOW ABOVE 6000 FEET)...MAINLY N. WRAP AROUND MOISTURE TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE N SAT...BUT WIND WILL AGAIN BE A CONCERN FOR MUCH OF THE AREA - ESP SRN ZONES. UPPER LOW TO DRIFT INTO SE CO AND WINDS LINE UP FROM THE W OR WNW. THIS COVERED IN CURRENT FORECAST WITH WINDY MOST ZONES. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION SNOW SHOWERS N SAT...LITTLE OR NOTHING S. NO CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED EXCEPT PERHAPS TO LOWER TEMPS SOME MORE FOR MON/TUE IN THE E. RIDGE TO BUILD TO THE W LATER THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK AND NW FLOW TO BRING A SHORT WAVE ACROSS THE AREA EARLY IN THE WEEK. SURFACE FRONT TO REACH THE N BY SUN NIGHT...IF NOT LATE SUN. COUPLE OF COOL DAYS MON AND TUE AT LEAST IN THE E THEN A WARM-UP FOR WED AND THU...ALTHOUGH YET ANOTHER FRONT COULD REACH THE NE LATER THU. AGAIN WILL NOT BUY IDEA OF SO MUCH MOISTURE SPILL-OVER LATER MON INTO WED W OF CNTRL MOUNTAINS. BUT WILL GO WITH A LITTLE COOLING E OF DIVIDE FOR MON/TUE. ABQ EN 068/040 070/046 078 40222 SAF EN 058/037 060/040 072 40444 TCC TN 060/043 068/046 080 40721 .ABQ...SNOW ADVISORY TONIGHT ZONES 2 AND 4 ABOVE 7500 FEET. CHJ  864 FXUS65 KABQ 040932 AFDABQ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 330 AM MDT FRI MAY 4 2001 MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT ON POSITION AND TIMING OF UPPER LOW NOW BUT STILL DIFFER IN DETAILS OF SURFACE FRONT AND MOISTURE/PRECIP. ALL HAVE THE NE IN FOR A RAW...NASTY DAY AND LOOKING AT RADAR TRENDS ERN NM FILLING IN NICELY NOW WITH SHOWERS AND STORMS. SHORT WAVE OVER TX PANHANDLE HELPING CONVECTION ALONG THIS AM. ANOTHER SHORT WAVE OVER BAJA SHOULD PASS S OF FORECAST AREA LATER TODAY. AVN ACTUALLY THE WETTEST FOR TODAY IN THE NE WITH AROUND 2 INCHES FORECAST FROM NOW THROUGH THE DAY. HOPEFULLY THIS IS OVERDONE BUT CERTAINLY A WET DAY COMING UP FOR THE NE ZONES. POPS AND PRECIP GRADUALLY LOWER FROM NE TO SW TODAY. BELIEVE SURFACE FRONT TO MAKE LITTLE PROGRESS NWD TODAY PER ETA/MESOETA...THUS ANOTHER CHILLY DAY FOR THE NE AND WILL UNDERCUT GUIDANCE MUCH OF E. WITH UPPER LOW GOING OVER NW/NC NM TONIGHT LOOKS LIKE NRN MOUNTAINS COULD GET SOME DECENT SNOWFALL AND WILL ISSUE SNOW ADVISORY FOR 3-6 INCHES ABOVE 7500 FEET TONIGHT. ELSEWHERE SOME SHOWERS (MIXED WITH SNOW ABOVE 6000 FEET)...MAINLY N. WRAP AROUND MOISTURE TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE N SAT...BUT WIND WILL AGAIN BE A CONCERN FOR MUCH OF THE AREA - ESP SRN ZONES. UPPER LOW TO DRIFT INTO SE CO AND WINDS LINE UP FROM THE W OR WNW. THIS COVERED IN CURRENT FORECAST WITH WINDY MOST ZONES. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION SNOW SHOWERS N SAT...LITTLE OR NOTHING S. NO CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED EXCEPT PERHAPS TO LOWER TEMPS SOME MORE FOR MON/TUE IN THE E. RIDGE TO BUILD TO THE W LATER THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK AND NW FLOW TO BRING A SHORT WAVE ACROSS THE AREA EARLY IN THE WEEK. SURFACE FRONT TO REACH THE N BY SUN NIGHT...IF NOT LATE SUN. COUPLE OF COOL DAYS MON AND TUE AT LEAST IN THE E THEN A WARM-UP FOR WED AND THU...ALTHOUGH YET ANOTHER FRONT COULD REACH THE NE LATER THU. AGAIN WILL NOT BUY IDEA OF SO MUCH MOISTURE SPILL-OVER LATER MON INTO WED W OF CNTRL MOUNTAINS. BUT WILL GO WITH A LITTLE COOLING E OF DIVIDE FOR MON/TUE. ABQ EN 068/040 070/046 078 40222 SAF EN 058/037 060/040 072 40444 TCC TN 060/043 068/046 080 40721 .ABQ...SNOW ADVISORY TONIGHT ZONES 2 AND 4 ABOVE 7500 FEET. CHJ