655

FXUS64 KAMA 020904

AFDAMA



TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES FORECAST DISCUSSION

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX

403 AM CDT WED MAY 2 2001



DRYLINE CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM GUYMON TO AMARILLO THIS MORNING WITH

A MUCH SHARPER MOISTURE GRADIENT THAN RECENT DAYS. 30-40KT LOW LEVEL

JET LOCATED OVER THE HIGH PLAINS OF NEW MEXICO AND COLORADO...

EXPECT DRY LINE MAKE DECENT PROGRESS INTO THE EASTERN ZONES LATER

THIS AFTERNOON. SURFACE LOW NOW OVER SOUTHWEST KANSAS EXPECTED TO

DRIFT SOUTHEAST LATER THIS AFTERNOON. NORTHERLY WIND SHIFT NOTED

OVER SOUTHEAST COLORADO BUT TRUE COLD FRONT LOCATED VICINITY OF

PALMER DIVIDE. LOOKS LIKE FULL SUNSHINE AND DOWNSLOPE WEST OF

DRYLINE...WILL ALLOW WARMER FIRST PERIOD HIGHS THAN PREVIOUS

FORECAST.



QUESTION OF THE DAY WILL BE WHETHER OR NOT DRYLINE CONVERGENCE AND

DIFFLUENCE ASSOCIATED WITH APPROACHING SOUTHERN ROCKIES 40KT 5H SPEED

MAX WILL BE ABLE TO BREAK STRONG CAP OF 13-14 DEGREES CELSIUS LOCATED

AT 780MB PER 00Z KOUN AND KFTW SOUNDINGS. WITH SLOWER TIMING OF TRUE

COLD FRONT...WILL RAISE TEMPS OVER SOUTHEAST ZONES TO AROUND 90 WHERE

DEW POINTS CURRENTLY IN THE LOWER 60S. MAY ALSO BUMP POPS UPWARDS

OVER THE EASTERN ZONES BUT NO POPS UNTIL TONIGHT OVER WESTERN ZONES

WHICH WILL BE IN THE DRY AIR.



DRAMATIC TEMPERATURE CHANGE IN STORE FOR THURSDAY AS COLD FRONT

SURGES OVER THE PANHANDLES WITH LOW CLOUDS AND SHOWERS PRETTY MUCH

HANGING AROUND ALL DAY. NO CHANGES TO EXTENDED PERIODS.



.AMA...

TX...NONE.

OK...NONE.



SLATTERY