907

FXUS64 KLUB 021608 AAA

AFDLBB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX

1105 AM CDT WED MAY 2 2001



WILL UPDATE ZONES TO INCLUDE MENTION OF SEVERE NORTHEAST ZONES 

VICINITY KCDS WHERE TRIPLE POINT IS PROGGED TO BE TOWARD 00Z THIS 

EVENING. COVERAGE MAY BE SPARSE GIVEN WARM MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES. 

TEMP/DEWPOINT SPREADS TO BE QUITE LARGE AGAIN TODAY WITH HIGH BASED 

LCL...BUT NEW MODEL DATA SUGGESTS THAT LOW LEVEL WINDS MAY BACK SE 

PANHANDLE AFTER 00Z AS SURFACE LOW BECOMES BETTER DEFINED WEST OF 

KCDS. MID LEVEL FLOW HOWEVER ONLY PROGGED TO BE AROUND 30 KNOTS.



OTHER PROBLEM IS FRONTAL POSITION. FRONT HAS MOVED ACROSS NW ZONES 

AND NOW APPEARS TO BE NEAR A MULESHOE TO TULIA TO CLARENDON LINE. 

FRONT WAS PROGGED TO MIX BACK NORTHWARD INTO THE PANHANDLE BUT 

PRESSURE RISES ARE 4 TO 5 MB/3 HR OVER SE COLORADO AT THIS TIME. 

WILL WATCH CLOSELY. ALSO UPPED WINDS MOST AREAS TO 15-25 MPH. 

MESOETA FORECAST SOUNDINGS GIVE MAX TEMP NEAR 100 OVER THE SOUTHERN 

LOW ROLLING PLAINS. STILL LOOKS GOOD FOR SOME RAIN ACTIVITY 

TOMORROW WITH FRONTAL BOUNDARY...RAPID INCREASE IN 850 RH...AND 

STRONG UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE FORECAST AHEAD OF SW UPPER LOW.



.LUB...NONE.



JAMES