295

FXUS64 KLZK 040837

AFDLIT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 

400 AM CDT FRI MAY 4 2001



MAIN EXCITEMENT THIS MORNING HAS BEEN 4.4 EARTHQUAKE THAT AFFECTED

MUCH OF THE FA EARLY THIS MORNING...BUT WAS NOT FELT AT THE WFO. 

UPPER TROF TO THE SOUTHWEST STAYS WELL TO THE WEST OF THE AREA THROUGH

SATURDAY THEN APPEARS TO SLOWLY MOVE NORTH-NORTHEAST. UPPER RIDGE

OVER THE SOUTHEAST WILL STILL HOLD STRONG. THIS COULD BE ANOTHER STORM

SYSTEM THAT BASICALLY GOES AROUND THE FA TO THE NORTH AND WEST, TAKING

MOST OF THE RAIN AND SEVERE WEATHER WITH IT. LOOKS TO ME THAT THERE WILL

BE LITTLE CHANGE TO THE PERSISTENT PATTERN THROUGH SATURDAY, WITH

ANY CHANGES HOLDING OFF UNTIL SATURDAY NIGHT OR LATER. THUNDERSTORMS

SHOULD OCCUR TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF FA TODAY THROUGH MOST OF 

SATURDAY. MODELS DO INDICATE INCREASE IN MOISTURE IN MOSTLY WESTERN 

SECTIONS SATURDAY, AND WILL KEEP A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSHOWERS

IN WESTERN AND NORTHERN ZONES FOR SATURADY, BUT WILL DROP POPS 

ELSEWHERE. MOISTURE INVADES THE FA MAINLY SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY,

BUT IT LOOKS LIKE THE MAIN ACTION WILL REMAIN WEST OF THE FA THROUGH 

12Z SUNDAY, AND THE DAY TWO SPC OUTLOOK SUPPORTS THAT. WILL HAVE A CHANCE

OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSHOWERS FOR SATURDAY NIGHT IN ALL AREAS. WILL

GO WITH PERSISTENCE ON TEMP FORECASTS FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT. MAXES SATURDAY

MAY BE A LITTLE LOWER DUE TO MORE HIGH CLOUDS FROM THUNDERSTORMS TO THE

WEST, BUT THE MAIN EFFECTS OF THIS SHOULD ONLY BE IN THE WEST. WILL NOT

LOWER MAXES MUCH IN EAST AND SOUTH. 



.LIT...NONE  








295

FXUS64 KLZK 040837

AFDLIT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 

400 AM CDT FRI MAY 4 2001



MAIN EXCITEMENT THIS MORNING HAS BEEN 4.4 EARTHQUAKE THAT AFFECTED

MUCH OF THE FA EARLY THIS MORNING...BUT WAS NOT FELT AT THE WFO. 

UPPER TROF TO THE SOUTHWEST STAYS WELL TO THE WEST OF THE AREA THROUGH

SATURDAY THEN APPEARS TO SLOWLY MOVE NORTH-NORTHEAST. UPPER RIDGE

OVER THE SOUTHEAST WILL STILL HOLD STRONG. THIS COULD BE ANOTHER STORM

SYSTEM THAT BASICALLY GOES AROUND THE FA TO THE NORTH AND WEST, TAKING

MOST OF THE RAIN AND SEVERE WEATHER WITH IT. LOOKS TO ME THAT THERE WILL

BE LITTLE CHANGE TO THE PERSISTENT PATTERN THROUGH SATURDAY, WITH

ANY CHANGES HOLDING OFF UNTIL SATURDAY NIGHT OR LATER. THUNDERSTORMS

SHOULD OCCUR TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF FA TODAY THROUGH MOST OF 

SATURDAY. MODELS DO INDICATE INCREASE IN MOISTURE IN MOSTLY WESTERN 

SECTIONS SATURDAY, AND WILL KEEP A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSHOWERS

IN WESTERN AND NORTHERN ZONES FOR SATURADY, BUT WILL DROP POPS 

ELSEWHERE. MOISTURE INVADES THE FA MAINLY SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY,

BUT IT LOOKS LIKE THE MAIN ACTION WILL REMAIN WEST OF THE FA THROUGH 

12Z SUNDAY, AND THE DAY TWO SPC OUTLOOK SUPPORTS THAT. WILL HAVE A CHANCE

OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSHOWERS FOR SATURDAY NIGHT IN ALL AREAS. WILL

GO WITH PERSISTENCE ON TEMP FORECASTS FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT. MAXES SATURDAY

MAY BE A LITTLE LOWER DUE TO MORE HIGH CLOUDS FROM THUNDERSTORMS TO THE

WEST, BUT THE MAIN EFFECTS OF THIS SHOULD ONLY BE IN THE WEST. WILL NOT

LOWER MAXES MUCH IN EAST AND SOUTH. 



.LIT...NONE