962 ACUS KMKC 032005 MKC AC 031954 STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWE46 KWBC. VALID 032000Z - 041200Z THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW P07 INK 30 NNW HOB 40 W CVS 15 SW TCC 30 SSE DHT 40 WSW GAG 35 NNW CSM 10 E LTS 40 N ABI 30 SE SJT 45 SE DRT. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW EPM 20 WNW BGR 25 SE BML 20 NW LEB 25 SW GFL 25 NW AVP 25 W CXY 10 E CHO 20 N GSO 20 W AVL 35 W CSV 25 ENE OWB 10 E SLO 20 E TBN 10 SW FYV 30 SSW PGO 35 NW GGG 55 SSW TYR 20 SSW AUS 40 S LRD ...CONT... 60 S MRF 40 W INK 20 NE 4CR 35 SSE SOW 45 N PRC 35 SSE CDC 45 ENE U24 30 E VEL 10 SW 4FC 10 WNW PUB 20 N LAA 35 E GLD 30 N GRI 40 NNE SUX 30 NNW RST 40 N GRB 60 NNE APN. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM GPT 35 NE MOB 15 WSW DHN 25 N DAB. ...SRN HIGH PLAINS... UPPER LOW OVER SRN NV WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT SEWD TOWARD THE 4- CORNERS REGION LATE TONIGHT...WHILE LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS A SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS LIFTING NEWD ACROSS THE CNTRL/SRN BAJA TOWARD NRN MEXICO. THIS FEATURE WILL APPROACH WEST TX LATE IN PERIOD...BUT LIKELY HAVE MORE IMPACT ON CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL LATER FRI. IN THE SHORT TERM...BOUNDARY LAYER CU FIELD IS EXPANDING EAST OF DRY LINE FROM NEAR LBB...SWD TO THE MEXICAN BORDER NEAR P07. THIS SUGGESTS BOUNDARY LAYER IS NEAR CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURE AND PERSISTENT UPSLOPE/CONVERGENCE SHOULD AID THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WITHIN A FEW HOURS. LOCAL VWP/PROFILER DATA INDICATE DEEP LAYER SHEAR ADEQUATE TO SUPPORT AT LEAST MULTI-CELL ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS...AND POSSIBLE A FEW SUPERCELLS. STRONG LOW LEVEL VEERING MAY ENHANCE ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT...HOWEVER HAIL SHOULD BE PRIMARY CONCERN WITH THIS ACTIVITY. ...ERN KS TO SRN WI... REGIONAL RADAR DATA INDICATES 30-40 MI WIDE ZONE OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED ALONG ERN EDGE OF STEEPER LAPSE RATES NEAR FRONTAL ZONE FROM EAST OF ICT IN SOUTHERN KS...NEWD INTO SERN IA. MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF 25-30 KT SUGGEST BRIEF STRONG UPDRAFTS WITH POTENTIAL FOR MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD DEVELOP/PROPAGATE NNEWD WITH GRADUAL DECREASE IN INTENSITY AFTER SUNSET. ..DARROW.. 05/03/01=  474 ACUS KMKC 032005 MKC AC 031954 STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWE46 KWBC. VALID 032000Z - 041200Z THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW P07 INK 30 NNW HOB 40 W CVS 15 SW TCC 30 SSE DHT 40 WSW GAG 35 NNW CSM 10 E LTS 40 N ABI 30 SE SJT 45 SE DRT. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW EPM 20 WNW BGR 25 SE BML 20 NW LEB 25 SW GFL 25 NW AVP 25 W CXY 10 E CHO 20 N GSO 20 W AVL 35 W CSV 25 ENE OWB 10 E SLO 20 E TBN 10 SW FYV 30 SSW PGO 35 NW GGG 55 SSW TYR 20 SSW AUS 40 S LRD ...CONT... 60 S MRF 40 W INK 20 NE 4CR 35 SSE SOW 45 N PRC 35 SSE CDC 45 ENE U24 30 E VEL 10 SW 4FC 10 WNW PUB 20 N LAA 35 E GLD 30 N GRI 40 NNE SUX 30 NNW RST 40 N GRB 60 NNE APN. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM GPT 35 NE MOB 15 WSW DHN 25 N DAB. ...SRN HIGH PLAINS... UPPER LOW OVER SRN NV WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT SEWD TOWARD THE 4- CORNERS REGION LATE TONIGHT...WHILE LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS A SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS LIFTING NEWD ACROSS THE CNTRL/SRN BAJA TOWARD NRN MEXICO. THIS FEATURE WILL APPROACH WEST TX LATE IN PERIOD...BUT LIKELY HAVE MORE IMPACT ON CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL LATER FRI. IN THE SHORT TERM...BOUNDARY LAYER CU FIELD IS EXPANDING EAST OF DRY LINE FROM NEAR LBB...SWD TO THE MEXICAN BORDER NEAR P07. THIS SUGGESTS BOUNDARY LAYER IS NEAR CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURE AND PERSISTENT UPSLOPE/CONVERGENCE SHOULD AID THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WITHIN A FEW HOURS. LOCAL VWP/PROFILER DATA INDICATE DEEP LAYER SHEAR ADEQUATE TO SUPPORT AT LEAST MULTI-CELL ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS...AND POSSIBLE A FEW SUPERCELLS. STRONG LOW LEVEL VEERING MAY ENHANCE ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT...HOWEVER HAIL SHOULD BE PRIMARY CONCERN WITH THIS ACTIVITY. ...ERN KS TO SRN WI... REGIONAL RADAR DATA INDICATES 30-40 MI WIDE ZONE OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED ALONG ERN EDGE OF STEEPER LAPSE RATES NEAR FRONTAL ZONE FROM EAST OF ICT IN SOUTHERN KS...NEWD INTO SERN IA. MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF 25-30 KT SUGGEST BRIEF STRONG UPDRAFTS WITH POTENTIAL FOR MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD DEVELOP/PROPAGATE NNEWD WITH GRADUAL DECREASE IN INTENSITY AFTER SUNSET. ..DARROW.. 05/03/01=  962 ACUS KMKC 032005 MKC AC 031954 STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWE46 KWBC. VALID 032000Z - 041200Z THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW P07 INK 30 NNW HOB 40 W CVS 15 SW TCC 30 SSE DHT 40 WSW GAG 35 NNW CSM 10 E LTS 40 N ABI 30 SE SJT 45 SE DRT. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW EPM 20 WNW BGR 25 SE BML 20 NW LEB 25 SW GFL 25 NW AVP 25 W CXY 10 E CHO 20 N GSO 20 W AVL 35 W CSV 25 ENE OWB 10 E SLO 20 E TBN 10 SW FYV 30 SSW PGO 35 NW GGG 55 SSW TYR 20 SSW AUS 40 S LRD ...CONT... 60 S MRF 40 W INK 20 NE 4CR 35 SSE SOW 45 N PRC 35 SSE CDC 45 ENE U24 30 E VEL 10 SW 4FC 10 WNW PUB 20 N LAA 35 E GLD 30 N GRI 40 NNE SUX 30 NNW RST 40 N GRB 60 NNE APN. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM GPT 35 NE MOB 15 WSW DHN 25 N DAB. ...SRN HIGH PLAINS... UPPER LOW OVER SRN NV WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT SEWD TOWARD THE 4- CORNERS REGION LATE TONIGHT...WHILE LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS A SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS LIFTING NEWD ACROSS THE CNTRL/SRN BAJA TOWARD NRN MEXICO. THIS FEATURE WILL APPROACH WEST TX LATE IN PERIOD...BUT LIKELY HAVE MORE IMPACT ON CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL LATER FRI. IN THE SHORT TERM...BOUNDARY LAYER CU FIELD IS EXPANDING EAST OF DRY LINE FROM NEAR LBB...SWD TO THE MEXICAN BORDER NEAR P07. THIS SUGGESTS BOUNDARY LAYER IS NEAR CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURE AND PERSISTENT UPSLOPE/CONVERGENCE SHOULD AID THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WITHIN A FEW HOURS. LOCAL VWP/PROFILER DATA INDICATE DEEP LAYER SHEAR ADEQUATE TO SUPPORT AT LEAST MULTI-CELL ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS...AND POSSIBLE A FEW SUPERCELLS. STRONG LOW LEVEL VEERING MAY ENHANCE ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT...HOWEVER HAIL SHOULD BE PRIMARY CONCERN WITH THIS ACTIVITY. ...ERN KS TO SRN WI... REGIONAL RADAR DATA INDICATES 30-40 MI WIDE ZONE OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED ALONG ERN EDGE OF STEEPER LAPSE RATES NEAR FRONTAL ZONE FROM EAST OF ICT IN SOUTHERN KS...NEWD INTO SERN IA. MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF 25-30 KT SUGGEST BRIEF STRONG UPDRAFTS WITH POTENTIAL FOR MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD DEVELOP/PROPAGATE NNEWD WITH GRADUAL DECREASE IN INTENSITY AFTER SUNSET. ..DARROW.. 05/03/01=  474 ACUS KMKC 032005 MKC AC 031954 STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWE46 KWBC. VALID 032000Z - 041200Z THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW P07 INK 30 NNW HOB 40 W CVS 15 SW TCC 30 SSE DHT 40 WSW GAG 35 NNW CSM 10 E LTS 40 N ABI 30 SE SJT 45 SE DRT. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW EPM 20 WNW BGR 25 SE BML 20 NW LEB 25 SW GFL 25 NW AVP 25 W CXY 10 E CHO 20 N GSO 20 W AVL 35 W CSV 25 ENE OWB 10 E SLO 20 E TBN 10 SW FYV 30 SSW PGO 35 NW GGG 55 SSW TYR 20 SSW AUS 40 S LRD ...CONT... 60 S MRF 40 W INK 20 NE 4CR 35 SSE SOW 45 N PRC 35 SSE CDC 45 ENE U24 30 E VEL 10 SW 4FC 10 WNW PUB 20 N LAA 35 E GLD 30 N GRI 40 NNE SUX 30 NNW RST 40 N GRB 60 NNE APN. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM GPT 35 NE MOB 15 WSW DHN 25 N DAB. ...SRN HIGH PLAINS... UPPER LOW OVER SRN NV WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT SEWD TOWARD THE 4- CORNERS REGION LATE TONIGHT...WHILE LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS A SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS LIFTING NEWD ACROSS THE CNTRL/SRN BAJA TOWARD NRN MEXICO. THIS FEATURE WILL APPROACH WEST TX LATE IN PERIOD...BUT LIKELY HAVE MORE IMPACT ON CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL LATER FRI. IN THE SHORT TERM...BOUNDARY LAYER CU FIELD IS EXPANDING EAST OF DRY LINE FROM NEAR LBB...SWD TO THE MEXICAN BORDER NEAR P07. THIS SUGGESTS BOUNDARY LAYER IS NEAR CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURE AND PERSISTENT UPSLOPE/CONVERGENCE SHOULD AID THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WITHIN A FEW HOURS. LOCAL VWP/PROFILER DATA INDICATE DEEP LAYER SHEAR ADEQUATE TO SUPPORT AT LEAST MULTI-CELL ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS...AND POSSIBLE A FEW SUPERCELLS. STRONG LOW LEVEL VEERING MAY ENHANCE ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT...HOWEVER HAIL SHOULD BE PRIMARY CONCERN WITH THIS ACTIVITY. ...ERN KS TO SRN WI... REGIONAL RADAR DATA INDICATES 30-40 MI WIDE ZONE OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED ALONG ERN EDGE OF STEEPER LAPSE RATES NEAR FRONTAL ZONE FROM EAST OF ICT IN SOUTHERN KS...NEWD INTO SERN IA. MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF 25-30 KT SUGGEST BRIEF STRONG UPDRAFTS WITH POTENTIAL FOR MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD DEVELOP/PROPAGATE NNEWD WITH GRADUAL DECREASE IN INTENSITY AFTER SUNSET. ..DARROW.. 05/03/01=  135 ACUS KMKC 032005 MKC AC 031954 STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWE46 KWBC. VALID 032000Z - 041200Z THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW P07 INK 30 NNW HOB 40 W CVS 15 SW TCC 30 SSE DHT 40 WSW GAG 35 NNW CSM 10 E LTS 40 N ABI 30 SE SJT 45 SE DRT. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW EPM 20 WNW BGR 25 SE BML 20 NW LEB 25 SW GFL 25 NW AVP 25 W CXY 10 E CHO 20 N GSO 20 W AVL 35 W CSV 25 ENE OWB 10 E SLO 20 E TBN 10 SW FYV 30 SSW PGO 35 NW GGG 55 SSW TYR 20 SSW AUS 40 S LRD ...CONT... 60 S MRF 40 W INK 20 NE 4CR 35 SSE SOW 45 N PRC 35 SSE CDC 45 ENE U24 30 E VEL 10 SW 4FC 10 WNW PUB 20 N LAA 35 E GLD 30 N GRI 40 NNE SUX 30 NNW RST 40 N GRB 60 NNE APN. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM GPT 35 NE MOB 15 WSW DHN 25 N DAB. ...SRN HIGH PLAINS... UPPER LOW OVER SRN NV WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT SEWD TOWARD THE 4- CORNERS REGION LATE TONIGHT...WHILE LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS A SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS LIFTING NEWD ACROSS THE CNTRL/SRN BAJA TOWARD NRN MEXICO. THIS FEATURE WILL APPROACH WEST TX LATE IN PERIOD...BUT LIKELY HAVE MORE IMPACT ON CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL LATER FRI. IN THE SHORT TERM...BOUNDARY LAYER CU FIELD IS EXPANDING EAST OF DRY LINE FROM NEAR LBB...SWD TO THE MEXICAN BORDER NEAR P07. THIS SUGGESTS BOUNDARY LAYER IS NEAR CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURE AND PERSISTENT UPSLOPE/CONVERGENCE SHOULD AID THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WITHIN A FEW HOURS. LOCAL VWP/PROFILER DATA INDICATE DEEP LAYER SHEAR ADEQUATE TO SUPPORT AT LEAST MULTI-CELL ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS...AND POSSIBLE A FEW SUPERCELLS. STRONG LOW LEVEL VEERING MAY ENHANCE ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT...HOWEVER HAIL SHOULD BE PRIMARY CONCERN WITH THIS ACTIVITY. ...ERN KS TO SRN WI... REGIONAL RADAR DATA INDICATES 30-40 MI WIDE ZONE OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED ALONG ERN EDGE OF STEEPER LAPSE RATES NEAR FRONTAL ZONE FROM EAST OF ICT IN SOUTHERN KS...NEWD INTO SERN IA. MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF 25-30 KT SUGGEST BRIEF STRONG UPDRAFTS WITH POTENTIAL FOR MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD DEVELOP/PROPAGATE NNEWD WITH GRADUAL DECREASE IN INTENSITY AFTER SUNSET. ..DARROW.. 05/03/01=  637 ACUS KMKC 032005 MKC AC 031954 STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWE46 KWBC. VALID 032000Z - 041200Z THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW P07 INK 30 NNW HOB 40 W CVS 15 SW TCC 30 SSE DHT 40 WSW GAG 35 NNW CSM 10 E LTS 40 N ABI 30 SE SJT 45 SE DRT. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW EPM 20 WNW BGR 25 SE BML 20 NW LEB 25 SW GFL 25 NW AVP 25 W CXY 10 E CHO 20 N GSO 20 W AVL 35 W CSV 25 ENE OWB 10 E SLO 20 E TBN 10 SW FYV 30 SSW PGO 35 NW GGG 55 SSW TYR 20 SSW AUS 40 S LRD ...CONT... 60 S MRF 40 W INK 20 NE 4CR 35 SSE SOW 45 N PRC 35 SSE CDC 45 ENE U24 30 E VEL 10 SW 4FC 10 WNW PUB 20 N LAA 35 E GLD 30 N GRI 40 NNE SUX 30 NNW RST 40 N GRB 60 NNE APN. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM GPT 35 NE MOB 15 WSW DHN 25 N DAB. ...SRN HIGH PLAINS... UPPER LOW OVER SRN NV WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT SEWD TOWARD THE 4- CORNERS REGION LATE TONIGHT...WHILE LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS A SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS LIFTING NEWD ACROSS THE CNTRL/SRN BAJA TOWARD NRN MEXICO. THIS FEATURE WILL APPROACH WEST TX LATE IN PERIOD...BUT LIKELY HAVE MORE IMPACT ON CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL LATER FRI. IN THE SHORT TERM...BOUNDARY LAYER CU FIELD IS EXPANDING EAST OF DRY LINE FROM NEAR LBB...SWD TO THE MEXICAN BORDER NEAR P07. THIS SUGGESTS BOUNDARY LAYER IS NEAR CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURE AND PERSISTENT UPSLOPE/CONVERGENCE SHOULD AID THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WITHIN A FEW HOURS. LOCAL VWP/PROFILER DATA INDICATE DEEP LAYER SHEAR ADEQUATE TO SUPPORT AT LEAST MULTI-CELL ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS...AND POSSIBLE A FEW SUPERCELLS. STRONG LOW LEVEL VEERING MAY ENHANCE ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT...HOWEVER HAIL SHOULD BE PRIMARY CONCERN WITH THIS ACTIVITY. ...ERN KS TO SRN WI... REGIONAL RADAR DATA INDICATES 30-40 MI WIDE ZONE OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED ALONG ERN EDGE OF STEEPER LAPSE RATES NEAR FRONTAL ZONE FROM EAST OF ICT IN SOUTHERN KS...NEWD INTO SERN IA. MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF 25-30 KT SUGGEST BRIEF STRONG UPDRAFTS WITH POTENTIAL FOR MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD DEVELOP/PROPAGATE NNEWD WITH GRADUAL DECREASE IN INTENSITY AFTER SUNSET. ..DARROW.. 05/03/01=  135 ACUS KMKC 032005 MKC AC 031954 STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWE46 KWBC. VALID 032000Z - 041200Z THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW P07 INK 30 NNW HOB 40 W CVS 15 SW TCC 30 SSE DHT 40 WSW GAG 35 NNW CSM 10 E LTS 40 N ABI 30 SE SJT 45 SE DRT. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW EPM 20 WNW BGR 25 SE BML 20 NW LEB 25 SW GFL 25 NW AVP 25 W CXY 10 E CHO 20 N GSO 20 W AVL 35 W CSV 25 ENE OWB 10 E SLO 20 E TBN 10 SW FYV 30 SSW PGO 35 NW GGG 55 SSW TYR 20 SSW AUS 40 S LRD ...CONT... 60 S MRF 40 W INK 20 NE 4CR 35 SSE SOW 45 N PRC 35 SSE CDC 45 ENE U24 30 E VEL 10 SW 4FC 10 WNW PUB 20 N LAA 35 E GLD 30 N GRI 40 NNE SUX 30 NNW RST 40 N GRB 60 NNE APN. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM GPT 35 NE MOB 15 WSW DHN 25 N DAB. ...SRN HIGH PLAINS... UPPER LOW OVER SRN NV WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT SEWD TOWARD THE 4- CORNERS REGION LATE TONIGHT...WHILE LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS A SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS LIFTING NEWD ACROSS THE CNTRL/SRN BAJA TOWARD NRN MEXICO. THIS FEATURE WILL APPROACH WEST TX LATE IN PERIOD...BUT LIKELY HAVE MORE IMPACT ON CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL LATER FRI. IN THE SHORT TERM...BOUNDARY LAYER CU FIELD IS EXPANDING EAST OF DRY LINE FROM NEAR LBB...SWD TO THE MEXICAN BORDER NEAR P07. THIS SUGGESTS BOUNDARY LAYER IS NEAR CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURE AND PERSISTENT UPSLOPE/CONVERGENCE SHOULD AID THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WITHIN A FEW HOURS. LOCAL VWP/PROFILER DATA INDICATE DEEP LAYER SHEAR ADEQUATE TO SUPPORT AT LEAST MULTI-CELL ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS...AND POSSIBLE A FEW SUPERCELLS. STRONG LOW LEVEL VEERING MAY ENHANCE ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT...HOWEVER HAIL SHOULD BE PRIMARY CONCERN WITH THIS ACTIVITY. ...ERN KS TO SRN WI... REGIONAL RADAR DATA INDICATES 30-40 MI WIDE ZONE OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED ALONG ERN EDGE OF STEEPER LAPSE RATES NEAR FRONTAL ZONE FROM EAST OF ICT IN SOUTHERN KS...NEWD INTO SERN IA. MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF 25-30 KT SUGGEST BRIEF STRONG UPDRAFTS WITH POTENTIAL FOR MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD DEVELOP/PROPAGATE NNEWD WITH GRADUAL DECREASE IN INTENSITY AFTER SUNSET. ..DARROW.. 05/03/01=  637 ACUS KMKC 032005 MKC AC 031954 STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWE46 KWBC. VALID 032000Z - 041200Z THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW P07 INK 30 NNW HOB 40 W CVS 15 SW TCC 30 SSE DHT 40 WSW GAG 35 NNW CSM 10 E LTS 40 N ABI 30 SE SJT 45 SE DRT. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW EPM 20 WNW BGR 25 SE BML 20 NW LEB 25 SW GFL 25 NW AVP 25 W CXY 10 E CHO 20 N GSO 20 W AVL 35 W CSV 25 ENE OWB 10 E SLO 20 E TBN 10 SW FYV 30 SSW PGO 35 NW GGG 55 SSW TYR 20 SSW AUS 40 S LRD ...CONT... 60 S MRF 40 W INK 20 NE 4CR 35 SSE SOW 45 N PRC 35 SSE CDC 45 ENE U24 30 E VEL 10 SW 4FC 10 WNW PUB 20 N LAA 35 E GLD 30 N GRI 40 NNE SUX 30 NNW RST 40 N GRB 60 NNE APN. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM GPT 35 NE MOB 15 WSW DHN 25 N DAB. ...SRN HIGH PLAINS... UPPER LOW OVER SRN NV WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT SEWD TOWARD THE 4- CORNERS REGION LATE TONIGHT...WHILE LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS A SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS LIFTING NEWD ACROSS THE CNTRL/SRN BAJA TOWARD NRN MEXICO. THIS FEATURE WILL APPROACH WEST TX LATE IN PERIOD...BUT LIKELY HAVE MORE IMPACT ON CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL LATER FRI. IN THE SHORT TERM...BOUNDARY LAYER CU FIELD IS EXPANDING EAST OF DRY LINE FROM NEAR LBB...SWD TO THE MEXICAN BORDER NEAR P07. THIS SUGGESTS BOUNDARY LAYER IS NEAR CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURE AND PERSISTENT UPSLOPE/CONVERGENCE SHOULD AID THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WITHIN A FEW HOURS. LOCAL VWP/PROFILER DATA INDICATE DEEP LAYER SHEAR ADEQUATE TO SUPPORT AT LEAST MULTI-CELL ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS...AND POSSIBLE A FEW SUPERCELLS. STRONG LOW LEVEL VEERING MAY ENHANCE ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT...HOWEVER HAIL SHOULD BE PRIMARY CONCERN WITH THIS ACTIVITY. ...ERN KS TO SRN WI... REGIONAL RADAR DATA INDICATES 30-40 MI WIDE ZONE OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED ALONG ERN EDGE OF STEEPER LAPSE RATES NEAR FRONTAL ZONE FROM EAST OF ICT IN SOUTHERN KS...NEWD INTO SERN IA. MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF 25-30 KT SUGGEST BRIEF STRONG UPDRAFTS WITH POTENTIAL FOR MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD DEVELOP/PROPAGATE NNEWD WITH GRADUAL DECREASE IN INTENSITY AFTER SUNSET. ..DARROW.. 05/03/01=