361

ACUS3 KMKC 032036

SWOMCD

MKC MCD 032035

NMZ000-TXZ000-032230-



SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0641 FOR THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST

TEXAS/EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 188...



SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES ALONG A

STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT EXTENDS FROM NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA

INTO SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO.  INSTABILITY IS STILL INCREASING

ACROSS THE WATCH AREA SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY WHERE THE CIRRUS HAS

BEEN THINNING DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS.  THIS INSTABILITY

SHOULD AID ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE

AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING.  VEERING PROFILES WILL SUPPORT

SOME WEAK STORM ROTATION...BUT THE OVERALL TORNADO THREAT DOES NOT

APPEAR TO HAVE IMPROVED IN THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS.  HOWEVER...THE

ROTATING CELLS SUGGEST LARGE HAIL COULD ACCOMPANY SOME OF THIS

ACTIVITY.  QUARTER SIZE WAS NOTED IN SWISHER...AND DIME SIZE HAIL

WAS REPORTED EARLIER NEAR DIMMITT TEXAS.



..REHBEIN.. 05/03/01








361

ACUS3 KMKC 032036

SWOMCD

MKC MCD 032035

NMZ000-TXZ000-032230-



SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0641 FOR THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST

TEXAS/EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 188...



SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES ALONG A

STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT EXTENDS FROM NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA

INTO SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO.  INSTABILITY IS STILL INCREASING

ACROSS THE WATCH AREA SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY WHERE THE CIRRUS HAS

BEEN THINNING DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS.  THIS INSTABILITY

SHOULD AID ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE

AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING.  VEERING PROFILES WILL SUPPORT

SOME WEAK STORM ROTATION...BUT THE OVERALL TORNADO THREAT DOES NOT

APPEAR TO HAVE IMPROVED IN THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS.  HOWEVER...THE

ROTATING CELLS SUGGEST LARGE HAIL COULD ACCOMPANY SOME OF THIS

ACTIVITY.  QUARTER SIZE WAS NOTED IN SWISHER...AND DIME SIZE HAIL

WAS REPORTED EARLIER NEAR DIMMITT TEXAS.



..REHBEIN.. 05/03/01