275 WWUS84 KOUN 021803 SPSOKC OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-022000- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 100 PM CDT WED MAY 2 2001 THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS... AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA. THE RISK AREA IS WEST OF A LINE FROM VERNON TEXAS...TO ANADARKO OKLAHOMA... TO ENID AND MEDFORD. LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT. SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE TO SOME DEGREE OVER PARTS OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS INTO THE WEEKEND. A COLD FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS NORTHWEST AND EXTREME WEST-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA BY THIS EVENING. SOUTH WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PULL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE NORTH INTO THE FRONTAL ZONE. DAYTIME HEATING... ALONG WITH THE INCREASE IN MOISTURE... WILL CREATE MODERATELY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS BY LATE AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE...THE DRY LINE WILL MOVE EAST TO NEAR THE SOUTHWESTERN BORDER OF OKLAHOMA BY EARLY EVENING. WARM AIR AT MID LEVELS IS EXPECTED TO SUPPRESS THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING... AT WHICH TIME THUNDERSTORMS COULD FORM QUICKLY NEAR THE COLD FRONT AND THE DRY LINE. A FAVORED AREA FOR INITIAL DEVELOPMENT WILL BE NEAR THE POINT WHERE THE FRONT AND THE DRY LINE INTERSECT... MOST LIKELY IN OR NEAR FAR SOUTHWEST OR WEST-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY THIS EVENING... MOST LIKELY CONCENTRATING NEAR THE COLD FRONT. STORMS WILL MOVE OR SPREAD NORTHEAST AT AROUND 25 MPH... AND COULD LAST WELL INTO THE NIGHT ESPECIALLY OVER NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA. A DEVELOPING UPPER STORM SYSTEM OVER THE ROCKIES WILL RESULT IN INCREASING WINDS AT ALL LEVELS TONIGHT. INCREASING SOUTH WINDS AT LOW LEVELS... COUPLED WITH WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ALOFT... WILL CREATE A FAVORABLE WIND PROFILE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT MOVE SLOWLY WILL BE MORE CAPABLE OF DEVELOPING INTO SUPERCELLS... WITH VERY LARGE HAIL... DAMAGING WINDS... AND POSSIBLY A FEW TORNADOES. OTHERWISE... LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY RISK OVER MOST OF THE SLIGHT RISK AREA. EAST OF THE SLIGHT RISK AREA... THE WARM MID-LEVEL AIR IS EXPECTED TO SUPPRESS STORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH TONIGHT. THE STORM SYSTEM OVER THE ROCKIES WILL MOVE LITTLE THROUGH FRIDAY. WEAKER DISTURBANCES ROTATING AROUND THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY AND FRIDAY... MAINTAINING A RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER BOTH DAYS. THE ENTIRE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN MOVING EAST BY SATURDAY... AND WILL MAINTAIN A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. EMERGENCY MANAGERS AND STORM SPOTTER GROUPS IN THE SLIGHT RISK AREA SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT... POSSIBLY BEGINNING AS EARLY AS 4 OR 5 PM. CHANCES ALSO REMAIN GOOD THAT SPOTTER NETWORKS IN THE OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS AREA WILL NEED TO BE ACTIVATED...POSSIBLY SEVERAL TIMES... BETWEEN THURSDAY AND SUNDAY. $$ CMS  275 WWUS84 KOUN 021803 SPSOKC OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-022000- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 100 PM CDT WED MAY 2 2001 THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS... AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA. THE RISK AREA IS WEST OF A LINE FROM VERNON TEXAS...TO ANADARKO OKLAHOMA... TO ENID AND MEDFORD. LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT. SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE TO SOME DEGREE OVER PARTS OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS INTO THE WEEKEND. A COLD FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS NORTHWEST AND EXTREME WEST-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA BY THIS EVENING. SOUTH WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PULL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE NORTH INTO THE FRONTAL ZONE. DAYTIME HEATING... ALONG WITH THE INCREASE IN MOISTURE... WILL CREATE MODERATELY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS BY LATE AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE...THE DRY LINE WILL MOVE EAST TO NEAR THE SOUTHWESTERN BORDER OF OKLAHOMA BY EARLY EVENING. WARM AIR AT MID LEVELS IS EXPECTED TO SUPPRESS THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING... AT WHICH TIME THUNDERSTORMS COULD FORM QUICKLY NEAR THE COLD FRONT AND THE DRY LINE. A FAVORED AREA FOR INITIAL DEVELOPMENT WILL BE NEAR THE POINT WHERE THE FRONT AND THE DRY LINE INTERSECT... MOST LIKELY IN OR NEAR FAR SOUTHWEST OR WEST-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY THIS EVENING... MOST LIKELY CONCENTRATING NEAR THE COLD FRONT. STORMS WILL MOVE OR SPREAD NORTHEAST AT AROUND 25 MPH... AND COULD LAST WELL INTO THE NIGHT ESPECIALLY OVER NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA. A DEVELOPING UPPER STORM SYSTEM OVER THE ROCKIES WILL RESULT IN INCREASING WINDS AT ALL LEVELS TONIGHT. INCREASING SOUTH WINDS AT LOW LEVELS... COUPLED WITH WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ALOFT... WILL CREATE A FAVORABLE WIND PROFILE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT MOVE SLOWLY WILL BE MORE CAPABLE OF DEVELOPING INTO SUPERCELLS... WITH VERY LARGE HAIL... DAMAGING WINDS... AND POSSIBLY A FEW TORNADOES. OTHERWISE... LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY RISK OVER MOST OF THE SLIGHT RISK AREA. EAST OF THE SLIGHT RISK AREA... THE WARM MID-LEVEL AIR IS EXPECTED TO SUPPRESS STORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH TONIGHT. THE STORM SYSTEM OVER THE ROCKIES WILL MOVE LITTLE THROUGH FRIDAY. WEAKER DISTURBANCES ROTATING AROUND THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY AND FRIDAY... MAINTAINING A RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER BOTH DAYS. THE ENTIRE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN MOVING EAST BY SATURDAY... AND WILL MAINTAIN A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. EMERGENCY MANAGERS AND STORM SPOTTER GROUPS IN THE SLIGHT RISK AREA SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT... POSSIBLY BEGINNING AS EARLY AS 4 OR 5 PM. CHANCES ALSO REMAIN GOOD THAT SPOTTER NETWORKS IN THE OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS AREA WILL NEED TO BE ACTIVATED...POSSIBLY SEVERAL TIMES... BETWEEN THURSDAY AND SUNDAY. $$ CMS