832

FXUS64 KSHV 030758

AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA

300 AM CDT THU MAY 3 2001



GREAT BASIN LOW WILL MAKE ONLY SMALL ADVANCES EASTWARD THRU PERIOD.

JET STREAKS IN SOUTHERN STREAM CURLING NORTHWARD THRU TX KEEPING

DYNAMICS WEST AND NORTH OF AREA UNTIL WEEKEND. AREA OF

STRENGTHENING HEIGHT FALLS WILL OCCUR OVER SE CO LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.

DUE TO STRONG UPPER DIVERGENCE INDICATED IN SE OK BY SATURDAY

MORNING...WILL PLACE LOW POPS STARTING LATE FRIDAY ACROSS RED RIVER

VALLEY REGION ONLY. UNTIL THEN...PERSISTENCE WILL BE THE RULE. HIGHS

REACHED LOWER TO MID 80S AREAWIDE UNDER PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND S-SE

WINDS. NO CHANGES ANTICIPATED ON THU OR FRI. HOWEVER...DUE TO A

SHIFTING MOISTURE REGIME IN LOW LEVELS TO THE WEST...WILL REMOVE

MORNING LOW CLOUDS FOR ALL EXCEPT EAST TX FRI MORNING.



GENERALLY STILL FOLLOWING AVN SOLUTION FOR LARGE SCALE FEATURES AND

ETA FOR LOW LEVEL DYNAMICS. HOWEVER...FURTHER SOUTHWARD POSITION OF

COLD FRONT EDGING INTO SOUTHERN PLAINS WELL OUT OF AREA INTO

WEEKEND. CURRENT FORECAST THEREFORE KEEPING MOST OF AREA DRY THRU

SATURDAY. ALLOW DAY SHIFT TO DECIDE WHETHER TO KEEP CHANCE OF

STORMS AREAWIDE ON SUNDAY.



SHV 84/65/84/64  0011

MLU 86/63/86/63  0000

TXK 84/66/83/65  0022

TYR 85/65/82/65  0022

LFK 85/67/82/65  0022



VII



.SHV...NONE.








832

FXUS64 KSHV 030758

AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA

300 AM CDT THU MAY 3 2001



GREAT BASIN LOW WILL MAKE ONLY SMALL ADVANCES EASTWARD THRU PERIOD.

JET STREAKS IN SOUTHERN STREAM CURLING NORTHWARD THRU TX KEEPING

DYNAMICS WEST AND NORTH OF AREA UNTIL WEEKEND. AREA OF

STRENGTHENING HEIGHT FALLS WILL OCCUR OVER SE CO LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.

DUE TO STRONG UPPER DIVERGENCE INDICATED IN SE OK BY SATURDAY

MORNING...WILL PLACE LOW POPS STARTING LATE FRIDAY ACROSS RED RIVER

VALLEY REGION ONLY. UNTIL THEN...PERSISTENCE WILL BE THE RULE. HIGHS

REACHED LOWER TO MID 80S AREAWIDE UNDER PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND S-SE

WINDS. NO CHANGES ANTICIPATED ON THU OR FRI. HOWEVER...DUE TO A

SHIFTING MOISTURE REGIME IN LOW LEVELS TO THE WEST...WILL REMOVE

MORNING LOW CLOUDS FOR ALL EXCEPT EAST TX FRI MORNING.



GENERALLY STILL FOLLOWING AVN SOLUTION FOR LARGE SCALE FEATURES AND

ETA FOR LOW LEVEL DYNAMICS. HOWEVER...FURTHER SOUTHWARD POSITION OF

COLD FRONT EDGING INTO SOUTHERN PLAINS WELL OUT OF AREA INTO

WEEKEND. CURRENT FORECAST THEREFORE KEEPING MOST OF AREA DRY THRU

SATURDAY. ALLOW DAY SHIFT TO DECIDE WHETHER TO KEEP CHANCE OF

STORMS AREAWIDE ON SUNDAY.



SHV 84/65/84/64  0011

MLU 86/63/86/63  0000

TXK 84/66/83/65  0022

TYR 85/65/82/65  0022

LFK 85/67/82/65  0022



VII



.SHV...NONE.